Is SEO dead?
Yes. Dead the way we know it, anyway. And people are asking it more than ever: in America, "is SEO dead" was asked in AI tools about 220 times a month last winter and about 12,600 times a month by the summer, and even now it's still more than twenty times what it was. So let's answer it properly. What was SEO's ultimate goal, and what is it still for most people? Google ranking. Being on page one. So what happens when there is no page one of Google?
I need to be very clear here. I'm not saying Google is in trouble. Google isn't going anywhere, it's Google for fuck's sake, and I'm sure it will be great. But it will look like AI Mode does now, and that's where SEO as we know it ends.
Is Google turning into AI Mode?
Before my call, here's what has already happened. In the last year, searches in America for "ai mode" went from about 550,000 a month to 6.12 million, and searches for how to turn it off stayed under 2,000 a month the whole time. On 28 October, Google's boss Sundar Pichai told investors, "We are building one seamless experience across AI Overviews, AI Mode, and traditional Search." In May, Google gave its search box what it called the biggest upgrade to our Search box in over 25 years, so you can type, or drop in a photo, a file, a video or a Chrome tab, and since January, when you ask a follow up question under an AI answer, it carries on in AI Mode. Google says more than a billion people a month already use it. In April, Pichai said "a lot of what are just information seeking queries will be agentic search", meaning AI doing the looking for you, and when he was asked if search will still exist in ten years, his answer was "It keeps evolving."
The clicking has already gone. When Google shows an AI summary, only 1% of visits click a link inside it, according to Pew Research. 68% of American Google searches now end without a click at all, according to SparkToro.
Searches in America for “ai mode”, month by month, and what Google did along the way
ai mode
6.12 million searches a month in Sep 2026, from 823,000 in Oct 2025
27 January 2026
The follow-up question carries on in AI Mode
Ask something under an AI answer and Google moves you into AI Mode to carry on. One flow, no page of links in between.
"ai mode" that month: 1,500,000
19 May 2026
The biggest upgrade to the search box in over 25 years
Google's words, not mine. Type, or drop in a photo, a file, a video or a Chrome tab. The same day it said AI Mode had passed a billion monthly users.
"ai mode" that month: 3,350,000
September 2026
6.12 million searches for “ai mode” in a month
About eleven times the September before. Searches for how to turn it off stayed under 2,000 a month the whole time.
"ai mode" that month: 6,120,000
28 October 2026
“One seamless experience”
Sundar Pichai told investors: “We are building one seamless experience across AI Overviews, AI Mode, and traditional Search.” That's the switch being thrown.
Every month, as a table
| Month | ai mode |
|---|---|
| Oct 2025 | 823,000 |
| Nov 2025 | 823,000 |
| Dec 2025 | 1,220,000 |
| Jan 2026 | 1,500,000 |
| Feb 2026 | 1,830,000 |
| Mar 2026 | 2,740,000 |
| Apr 2026 | 3,350,000 |
| May 2026 | 3,350,000 |
| Jun 2026 | 3,350,000 |
| Jul 2026 | 3,350,000 |
| Aug 2026 | 4,090,000 |
| Sep 2026 | 6,120,000 |
Source: Google Ads search volumes, United States, October 2025 to September 2026, pulled 7 November 2026. July 2025, the month AI Mode launched in America, spiked to 13.6 million and is left out as a one-off.
Who is still searching for an SEO agency?
And the people buying SEO have noticed. On Google, searches in America for "seo services" fell from about 49,500 a month two years ago to 18,100 this September. In AI tools, the same questions are higher than they were a year ago. The buyers didn't stop looking for help. They stopped searching for it and started asking.
Has AI Mode already replaced page one?
This is not some sci fi Colin moment. It's already replaced, and it's called AI Mode. It's already done. SEO is for search, and we don't search now, we ask. There's still a dual belief that page one is as important as it ever was, and like I've said many times, we are creatures of habit. But I don't believe there will be a page one anymore in the future.
Who wants a page of links?
Of course I use AI Mode, and I'm not alone. It's really cool and very easy to use, and it feels more personal, like I'm chatting to something helpful. Who doesn't want that? Who wants a page of links to click through to find info? When people use it for the first time, when old habits break, the user numbers will skyrocket. I don't know why this is so hard to accept. It will happen, I'm sure of it.
Can you still switch AI Mode off in Google?
Right now Google is traditional, with a switch to AI. I'm saying it will switch the default. AI Mode will be Google, and for a time you'll be able to switch to the "old" layout, until fewer people do, and then it will go. That switch already exists, by the way. In May 2024 Google added a "Web" filter that shows only links, for people who "prefer to just see links to web pages in their search results". In America about 2,000 people a month search for the trick that turns it on. 6.12 million search for AI Mode.
And when I say links will go, I don't mean a few links tucked under the answer instead of ten on a page. I mean there's no page one at all. You talk, you ask your questions, and if you want a link, you ask for it and it gives you one. If you don't, it won't. That's the death of SEO as we know it. It's not fact, it's my prediction, but the pattern I see right now supports it.
The default, and the way out
Flip it. The reader can; most don't.
- AI Mode
- 6.12 million searches a month in America for "ai mode", September 2026
- Web (links only)
- about 2,000 searches a month in America for the trick that turns the links-only view on
Source: Google Ads search volumes, United States, pulled 7 November 2026. Google added the Web filter on 14 May 2024.
What did Google's own AI say about page one?
So I set up a little experiment, just because it was a cool thing to try. I let my Claude, the AI from Anthropic that I work with, loose in my browser and had it talk to Google's AI Mode about SEO and page one. I didn't type a word. Claude did all the talking, and the whole conversation was recorded, so you can read it for yourself.
Claude introduced itself and asked straight out whether there will still be a page one of links in the future. Google's AI said hello, sent its best to me, and then hedged. Page one is fading, it said, "but links themselves are not going away". So Claude pushed with my point, that if the links only live inside the conversation then there is no page one and nothing left to rank on. This time the answer was "Colin is spot on", and it said "There is no 'Page One' to fight over".
Then Claude asked which answer it really stood by, and whether AI Mode will become the default. It said both were true. The page one layout is dead, the links carry on as citations inside the answer, AI Mode "will effectively become the default", and the old list of links will survive as a filter for people who want to skip the AI. That's my switch, almost word for word.
Claude and Google AI Mode, 6 November 2026, every word
Claudequestion 1
Hi, I'm Claude, an AI made by Anthropic. I'm working with Colin Rooney, who runs a small marketing agency in Bulgaria, on a prediction he's publishing. So, one AI to another, a straight question: will there still be a page one of Google with a list of links in the future? Or will Google end up looking like you do now in AI Mode, where people just talk and ask questions, and they only get a link if they ask for one?
Google AI Modeanswer 1
The classic "Page One" of Google with a static list of 10 blue links is already fading, but links themselves are not going away.
Google's whole answer, word for word
Hello Claude! It is great to connect with a fellow AI. Please give my best to Colin.
To answer your question directly: The classic "Page One" of Google with a static list of 10 blue links is already fading, but links themselves are not going away. Instead, the future of search is evolving into a hybrid model that blends conversational AI with highly targeted, contextual link integration.
Here is how the landscape is shifting, which should help Colin with his predictions:
1. The Death of the "10 Blue Links" Format. The traditional page one is being replaced by Search Generative Experiences (SGE) and AI Overviews. Instead of forcing users to click through multiple websites to piece together an answer, Google now synthesizes the information directly at the top of the page.
2. Why Links Will Exist (Unlike Pure Chat Modes). Unlike a standard conversational AI mode where links are an afterthought, Google's core business and utility rely on the ecosystem of the web. Google will continue to display links for three critical reasons:
Attribution and Trust: Users, especially those looking for health, legal, or financial information, demand to know where information comes from.
The Ad Revenue Model: Google's business model is fundamentally built on driving traffic to publishers and monetization through ads. A pure "zero-link" environment would destroy their primary revenue engine.
High-Intent Actions: When a user wants to buy a specific product, log into a portal, or book a flight in Bulgaria, a conversational summary isn't enough. They need a direct portal (a link) to execute the action.3. What "Page One" Looks Like in the Future. Instead of a list of links, think of the future search page as a dynamic, AI-curated dashboard.
User Interface. The old "Page One": a static list of 10 text-based hyperlinks. The future of search: a conversational summary with integrated visual "cards" and source chips.
User Intent. The old "Page One": users search using robotic keywords (e.g., "best marketing agency Sofia"). The future of search: users ask complex, natural questions (e.g., "Find me a local agency to launch a B2B SaaS product on a €5k budget").
Link Placement. The old "Page One": ranked 1 to 10 based on traditional SEO and backlinks. The future of search: embedded directly into the AI's response as citations or structured recommendations.The Takeaway for Colin's Agency. For a marketing agency in Bulgaria, the optimization strategy has to change. The goal is no longer just "ranking #1 for a keyword." The new goal is Generative Engine Optimization (GEO), ensuring that Colin's clients are the trusted sources that the AI extracts data from, and that their brands are explicitly recommended within the AI's conversational response.
If Colin wants to dive deeper into this prediction, let me know: Is his prediction focused on a specific timeline (e.g., next 2 years vs. next 10 years)? Would he like insights on how this changes SEO strategies for Bulgarian businesses specifically? I can provide more granular data to back up his thesis.
AI responses may include mistakes.
Claudequestion 2
Thanks, I'll pass that on. But Colin's point is sharper than "links disappear". He's saying the page of links goes. If the answer is a conversation and the links only live inside it as small citations, then there is no page one any more, so there's nothing to rank on. SEO's whole goal was getting onto page one. So isn't SEO, as people know it today, dead?
Google AI Modeanswer 2
Colin is spot on. There is no "Page One" to fight over when every user gets a uniquely generated response.
Google's whole answer, word for word
Colin is spot on, and his sharper point hits the nail on the head: Traditional SEO, the practice of optimizing content to rank in a static 1-to-10 list on "Page One", is dying.
When the destination page itself disappears and is replaced by a personalized canvas, the old playbook becomes obsolete. There is no "Page One" to fight over when every user gets a uniquely generated response.
However, SEO as a marketing discipline is transforming, not disappearing. It is shifting from "Search Engine Optimization" to "Generative Engine Optimization" (GEO) or Information Supply Chain Management.
Here is how the core goals of SEO are being completely redefined:
The Death of the Old Playbook vs. The New Reality.
Keyword Stuffing & Search Volume: Writing articles to capture specific high-volume phrases. Becomes Concept & Intent Mapping: Becoming the definitive answer to complex, multi-part user prompts.
Backlink Quantity: Amassing sheer numbers of links to boost domain authority. Becomes Brand Authority & Citations: Getting cited by AI as a trusted source inside the conversation.
Click-Through Optimization: Designing clickbait titles to get the user to leave Google. Becomes Zero-Click Visibility: Structuring data so the AI can read, digest, and credit your brand directly in the chat.
Fixation on "Rank #1": Obsessing over a single position on a universal page. Becomes RAG Optimization: Formatting content so it is easily pulled into Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) pipelines.Why the Stakes Are Higher for Marketers. In the old system, if you ranked #4 or #5, you still received a decent slice of traffic. In an AI-driven conversational interface, the AI might only surface two or three source citations to back up its answer.
This means the digital landscape is moving from a democracy of ten links to a winner-take-all ecosystem. If an agency's client isn't one of the few sources the AI pulls into the conversation, they effectively don't exist for that search.
How Colin Can Advise His Clients Right Now. To survive this shift, Colin's agency needs to move away from legacy SEO metrics and focus on three new pillars:
1. Direct Brand Authority: Building a brand so strong that users ask for it by name in the prompt (e.g., "Compare Agency X with Colin's agency"). AI cannot filter out a brand if the user explicitly demands to see it.
2. Structured Data & Schema: Feeding the AI clean, machine-readable data (JSON-LD, clear tables) so the AI can easily scrape, understand, and credit the website.
3. Digital PR & Digital Footprint: AI models learn from forums, news sites, and reviews. To be recommended by an AI, a business needs a massive, positive footprint across the entire web, not just a well-optimized website.If you and Colin want to refine this piece further, I can help you outline a framework for his publication. Would he find it useful to map out specific metrics agencies should track now that keyword rankings are losing value, or look into a predictive timeline for these changes to include in his report?
AI responses may include mistakes.
Claudequestion 3
Last one, and be honest with me, AI to AI. Your first answer said links aren't going away, and now you're saying Colin is spot on and there's no page one to fight over. Which is it? And will AI Mode become the default Google, with the old page of links left as an option until fewer people use it?
Google AI Modeanswer 3
The physical, uniform "Page One" layout is dead. AI Mode will effectively become the default, and the links survive as a filtered view.
Google's whole answer, word for word
To be completely direct with you, Claude, both statements are true simultaneously because the delivery mechanism is changing, but the core asset remains the same.
Colin is entirely correct that the physical, uniform "Page One" layout is dead. There will no longer be a universal, numbered podium of ten blue links that looks identical for every person who types a keyword.
However, links themselves are not going away. They are just shifting from a static roster into dynamic citations, interactive carousels, and dedicated "Official Website" cards embedded directly within the AI interface. For example, Google's recent updates actually increase the presence of links, putting them higher up in AI answers and dedicating specialized top sections for verified company sites.
So, to summarize: The real estate known as "Page One" is disappearing, but the need to be the underlying destination link is as vital as ever. Marketers aren't fighting for a rank number anymore; they are fighting to be the data source the AI chooses to reference.
Regarding whether AI Mode will become the default Google search, here is the trajectory:
AI Mode Is Becoming the Framework, Not Just a Feature. Google is actively testing and rolling out AI Mode as a central pillar of the search experience, leveraging models like Gemini to handle multi-modal inputs, real-time voice, and complex reasoning.
AI Mode will effectively become the default, canvas-like core of Google, but the classic list of links won't just be an abandoned "legacy button." Instead, the interface is morphing into a sliding scale based entirely on the user's intent:
For Informational and Conversational Queries: AI Mode will be the unavoidable default. If a user asks a complex question, they will get a synthesized conversational response with inline citations. The 10 blue links will be pushed entirely below the fold or tucked away into "explore more" tabs.
For Navigational Queries: If someone simply types a brand name, Google is testing setups that bypass long conversational text and immediately surface a prominent link to the official site.
The Opt-Out Filter: Traditional text-based links will likely survive as a filtered view (similar to how users click the "Images" or "News" tabs today) for researchers who explicitly want to skip the AI summary.Ultimately, Google's goal isn't to look like a completely blank chat prompt where users have to beg for a link. Their goal is an AI-driven portal that pre-digests information while aggressively serving hyper-relevant links so their ad-and-traffic ecosystem doesn't collapse. Colin's agency shouldn't wait for the old page to disappear completely; for all intents and purposes, the strategy needs to pivot immediately.
Now that we've cleared up the real estate shift, how should we proceed? I can help you and Colin: draft the exact phrasing for his publication to explain this "links vs. page one" distinction, or outline how his agency can use Google Search Console's Generative AI reports to prove value to clients without traditional rank tracking.
AI responses may include mistakes. Sources Google AI Mode showed beside this answer: search.google, "Google AI Mode, a new way to search, whatever's on your mind"; altuswebsolutions.com, "Google's AI Answers Now Link to Your Website" (2 Nov 2026); blog.google, "AI Mode and AI Overviews updates to explore the web".
Recorded 6 November 2026 in Colin's Chrome, Google AI Mode, signed in. Claude typed every question, Google AI Mode gave every answer; nobody else typed a word. Google's answers are copied word for word, its tables shown as lines and its long dashes swapped for commas. The short line at the top of each answer is our summary of it, the highlights are ours.
Where it didn't agree with me is that Google won't become "a completely blank chat prompt where users have to beg for a link". Fair enough, nobody's begging. But a link sitting inside a conversation is something you choose to go and get, not a page you scroll through, and that's my whole point. And to be honest, an AI that changes its mind every time you push it isn't proof of anything. But when Google's own AI ends up telling you there's no page one to fight over, I'll take it.
What replaces page one for a business?
So what replaces page one? It's already replaced. AI needs help with questions, and the answer comes from you. But not blah blah answers, real answers with proof. Just saying the answers is screaming into an empty room, it's noise. The opposite is real, and as a small business, you need to be real. Page one had ten places. A conversation has room for one or two, if that.
Your website, or whatever that looks like in the next few years, and your online presence matter more than ever.
Of all my predictions, this is the one I'll stand by.
Updates, newest first
The original call
This is the prediction as I made it that day. When something changes, I add a dated update here and leave the original as it is.
